Monsoon Likely at 90% Rainfall: IMD Forecast Revised Amid Regional Variations

The country is likely to receive about 90 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) rainfall this southwest monsoon season, according to the latest update from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) , signalling a slightly below normal outlook for the four month rainy period.

In its second forecast released on Friday, the weather office noted that while the Northeast region is expected to receive normal rainfall , several other parts of the country may experience below normal monsoon activity this year. The update comes as a revision of its earlier projection made on April 13, when it had estimated rainfall at around 92 per cent of LPA .

The southwest monsoon plays a crucial role in India’s agriculture, especially for kharif sowing and rural water availability. Even a small deviation from the long period average can have an impact on crop patterns , reservoir levels , and overall rural economy sentiment .

The IMD’s revised forecast suggests a slightly weaker monsoon compared to its earlier estimate, though not a severe deficit scenario. Meteorologists continue to monitor evolving oceanic and atmospheric conditions that influence monsoon performance across regions.

With the season progressing, the focus will remain on how rainfall distribution unfolds across different states, especially in rain dependent agricultural belts.